The history of team sports has always ranked individuals based on individual performance. (ie, stats) There is usually a modification to the ranks based on the team performance, but primary rank is determined by stats. Stats as in , goals scored, goals defended, assists, etc. Some of the greatest players of American football have been on teams with losing records. Yet, these players have been recognized as the best. Not because of their teams win-loss record but because of their individual great performance in spite of the team loss.
No matter how you cut math, basing individual ranks on the team performance alone will produce inaccurate results. Feel really bad for the greatest players in NFL history who under Elo/Helo and now TrueSkill would be mere foot notes in sports history instead of being recognized as the great player they were.
Steve Largeant, by any means one of the top 100 greatest NFL players of all time.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Largent. Under Elo,Helo,Trueskill ranking Steve Largeant would have been a nobody because his team had a losing record during his years played.
http://www.nflteamhistory.com/nfl_teams/se...ar_results.html There are many other great players in the history of team sports with similar records. A pity all the great players would be ranked in the gutter because of a TrueSkill based system.
The number of people (and very smart math people) that care about the accuracy of ranking individuals of team sports far exceeds the number of people that care about Allegiance ranks or ranking on Microsoft Live service with TrueSkill. I would venture to say that up to a multi-million TIMES more people have worked on making individual rankings accurate for team sports then the number of people working on TrueSkill.
Microsoft Research is simply that, research. Does not mean Mircosoft's Trueskill is accurate for individuals in team games. It means Microsoft is experimenting for specific team games. I put my money and faith in the hundreds of years of ranking individual team members based on individual performance and not team record. I hear folks hear putting in absolute faith in a system just because the system has Microsoft name on it. Wow, just wow.
Following the logic being developed here...the hundreds of years and millions of people that have been ranking individuals of team sports are wrong.
Bottom line as I see it, all three systems were/are being pushed forward so that medicore performers can have higher rankings just for being on a winning team. Pity the great players of all time such as Steve Largeant who proved greatness by his actions as recorded by stats and not because he got drafted by a winning team. When I brought up this issue about real sports to Pook. Pook's logic was, "Well Allegiance is not real sports" is called refusing to face the cold hard logic of Elo/Helo/Trueskill is wrong for ranking individuals in team based games. Allegiance and real team sports are not different enough to warrant radical different ranking systems. How about showing and talking about how/why Allegiance is so different from real sports to warrant a different ranking system then coming off with a reply that does not address the issue? I just don't get how such smart people like you guys doing this development are overlooking such very simple logic.
Go with the millions of math folks and go with the history of individual rankings for team sports instead of the very few people performing an experiment called Trueskill at Microsoft. I don't care if Albert Einstein developed Trueskill, Trueskill is wrong in theory and here is a situation (steve largent) where Trueskill is wrong in fact. Tis not about complicated math, this is about simple logic. Elo,Helo and Trueskill rewards mediocre players for being on a winning team and punishes great players for being on a losing team. Pook argument to this last sentence was, "Well Frag, you got on the wrong team". Talk about encouraging stacking.
Show the math that will put someone like Steve Largeant in the top 100 rankings of all time for the NFL based on Trueskill. If nothing else, show some math about why Allegiance is so different from the team sports of history to warrant this departure from the proven and accepted way of ranking.
Elo,Helo and now Trueskill are being experimented with and forced upon the Allegiance community for two reasons:
1. Scouts whores do not get enough points under the original Allegiance points system.
2. The admin was a scout whore.
Highly doubt your development effort would get the data from ASGS games if your effort was based around ranking players based on player performance instead of team performance. I know of a couple efforts for Allegiance that were going in the right direction of rankings based on stats, but support from ASGS seemed to be denied. The "D" word was tossed about for very good reason. Your getting support (with ACGS data, etc) because because Trueskill is based on the same principle(elo) as his effort.
Working on improving the collecting of scouting data and rewarding scouting actions with stats is the path to achieve the accurate ranking we all desire. Many vets have said this. This system of rewarding average players for being on a winning team and penalizing great players (such as Steve Largeant) for being on the losing team is wrong in principal, in fact and in history. Propose Trueskill to the real world of team sports and you will be ridiculed as using math to hide flawed logic. Millions of mathematicians work on ranking individuals of team sports...millions. All those mathematicians proven incorrect by a few at Microsoft and a few in an unknown community called Allegiance. Simple logic is being overlooked here in development of rankings for Allegiance in favor of complicated math.
We can answer a lot of the questions about what the community really wants by a vote. Vote on what type of ranking system. Vote on if no ranking system period. Hold up a few doctors of math and Microsoft as proof of a system? I hold up hundreds of years history and millions of mathematicians of a proven system. Both are just opinions.
You don't know the masses opinion until a valid vote is put forth. The "D" word is tossed around for very valid reasons. Huge decisions that affect the whole community in very negative (Elo,Helo, Trueskill IMO) ways are imposed without the will of the community.
Wants of the few or wants of the masses...