Electric Cars

Non-Allegiance related. High probability of spam. Pruned regularly.
MrChaos
Posts: 8352
Joined: Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:00 am

Post by MrChaos »

germloucks wrote:QUOTE (germloucks @ Feb 10 2013, 07:16 PM) MrC, you and i are on different time-scales here. I feel like you are looking 5-7 years into the future, while i am looking at a half-century+ timescale. Global warming is going to take an absolute minimum of that long to become a serious enough that we just cant put it off any longer. (with the best info ive seen)

My argument is that, in that time, we will finish figuring out several key technologies that will make full electric adaptation not only possible, but likely. Not only is electric better for the environment, once we solve the problem of clean power production, we also have a large and robust distribution network already in place. Yes, we will require many more power plants, although i feel like several hundred may be a high estimate. :P

Its really a no-brainer to me. What exactly is your alternative? How exactly do you plan to ration out a non-renewable resource in the long-term? No partisan politics there, we've only got so much of it. Dont you agree that we need to transition to another source of fuel?
I think we do agree in principle. Do something about energy usage, do something about our completely depending on fossil fuels to power pretty much every $#@!ing thing on the planet, do something about pollution, continue doing something that continues improving humanities lot. How we do it is very important and the road we are currently taking that CO2 levels reduced to 180 will drive some pretty serious repercussions even if we hit home rum after home run after home run. If the whole CO2 is causing global warming thing turns out to be a wee bit overblown, let alone wrong *shudder*, the gen pop will turn on science the way they do the current flavor of the day pop star. Won't that just be lovely

Ive spoilered the electric car bit as I feel Im being redundant but I did reply if anyone gives a crap at this point :cool:
I am on the same time scale as you fwiw. Just building the necessary infrastructure will take many years. Remember you are moving the energy production to power plants from 100,000.000s of cars. Its roughly a 1/3 of all energy used here in US for example.


In order to make an electric car more efficient and pollure less so it makes sense to use them you must:

1. Rebuild the entire electrical distribution backbone to improve the efficiency penalty you pay for every watt you produce at the plant and to handle all the new electricity to be used
2. Decommision as many coal fired power plants as you possibly can and replacing them with those that pollute less
3. Build many many more, it is hundreds and hundreds of them just in the US, I urge you to run the numbers
4. Build a recharging infrastructure whether parking lot charging pads, plugs, battery swapping stations, strips in the road or magicly beamed from heaven

The things you will have to solve for electric cars to be more then a curiousity
1. A new battery, all of the current versions materials to build them are quite limited. As in there is not enough of the stuff to support a large number of cars
2. Improve stroage capacity another 100%, something they have been trying to do for literally a hundred years now. Btw even late 1800s electric cars had ranges over 100 miles in some cases
3. Find some way to reduce charging times without effecting the battery. Something that all current systems do rather poorly atm

Once you get most of the above under control electric cars will sell and when they do we'll get used to the idea of battery swaps for extended trips, and shutting down the power draw during traffic jams etc etc etc etc.

Until you get to that point I say make selling electric cars for use on public roads illegal or less draconian limit their usage to areas that actually will produce a net benefit. Its is best for the envirnoment. IF you can find a better way to make electricity, while polluting less, get it to the end user more efficiently, then lets sell the things including manadating numbers that need to be sold. Its the easiest of all of them to do... even a MrChaos can do it ;)
Ssssh
Adept
Posts: 8660
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 12:53 pm
Location: Turku, Finland

Post by Adept »

Sorry about the spelling. Posting from the iPad2 is a little like that. No real keyboard, and editing is a pain in the arse. I try to get them to a point where I can be understood, but I won't polish them up.

The Clathrates and other self feeding methane sources are not a vague threat. They are what happens if we let this current warming go on too long. Did you look up the Clathrate Gun hypothesis Germ?

I think you mean well, but you are very, very optimistic when it comes to technological solutions. Do not put your faith in Fusion. It may pay off famously in just a few decades, but it may just as well still take a century. Then again Germ, if I remember correctly you also believe we are headed into a Sci-Fi tech & cultural singularity. From that premise I suppose I can't expect you to want to cut down on anything. Slowing down and degrowth do not fit with the singularity idea.

If magic tech suddenly happens and solves all our problems, you won't find me complaining. I just think it's immensely irresponsible to put our faith a miracle.
ImageImageImageImageImage
<bp|> Maybe when I grow up I can be a troll like PsycH
<bp|> or an obsessive compulsive paladin of law like Adept
germloucks
Posts: 756
Joined: Sat Feb 19, 2005 8:00 am
Location: Seattle

Post by germloucks »

Adept wrote:QUOTE (Adept @ Feb 11 2013, 03:22 PM) Sorry about the spelling. Posting from the iPad2 is a little like that. No real keyboard, and editing is a pain in the arse. I try to get them to a point where I can be understood, but I won't polish them up.

The Clathrates and other self feeding methane sources are not a vague threat. They are what happens if we let this current warming go on too long. Did you look up the Clathrate Gun hypothesis Germ?

I think you mean well, but you are very, very optimistic when it comes to technological solutions. Do not put your faith in Fusion. It may pay off famously in just a few decades, but it may just as well still take a century. Then again Germ, if I remember correctly you also believe we are headed into a Sci-Fi tech & cultural singularity. From that premise I suppose I can't expect you to want to cut down on anything. Slowing down and degrowth do not fit with the singularity idea.

If magic tech suddenly happens and solves all our problems, you won't find me complaining. I just think it's immensely irresponsible to put our faith a miracle.


First, pessimism by itself does not = wisdom. If you have a feeling that technology wont progress at similar levels to what it already has then i say the burden of proof is on you to prove why not. Secondly, there is no such thing as magic. Magic is a trick, technology is not. Dont reduce this to a "magical future" theory, because it isnt. Not a single thing i have said is even outside the living room of reality. Lastly, fusion is not perpetual motion or LENR. Its what powers the sun every day of the week, and the only thing we have left to figure out is how to build a facility that can create and harness the power of those reactions. Telling me not to put my faith in proven science is a little bizzare. Additionally, fusion isnt just the last thing in the tech tree in a game of civilization that solves all our problems. I never once said that, but what i did say is that it is likely that free (to produce) energy would largely eliminate our dependence on natural resources for energy and therefore make electric transportation the smartest and most likely choice.


QUOTE I think we do agree in principle. Do something about energy usage, do something about our completely depending on fossil fuels to power pretty much every $#@!ing thing on the planet, do something about pollution, continue doing something that continues improving humanities lot. How we do it is very important and the road we are currently taking that CO2 levels reduced to 180 will drive some pretty serious repercussions even if we hit home rum after home run after home run. If the whole CO2 is causing global warming thing turns out to be a wee bit overblown, let alone wrong *shudder*, the gen pop will turn on science the way they do the current flavor of the day pop star. Won't that just be lovely[/quote]


I agree. Although, am not sure what the 180 plan you are referring to is, i would google it but i took so long to make myself look smart replying to adept that i'm going to be late to class. How we do it, is exactly the right question to ask. If we take the time now to put the money into designing smart, cheap, and effective low-emission products you can expect they will naturally proliferate as any cheap and effective product would. I think cheap (also durable) is a great quality of electric, and moreso in the future. I wont buy a Tesla today, but there are many countries now that have public charging locations already. This is not a difficult transition, i believe.
Last edited by germloucks on Tue Feb 12, 2013 1:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
MrChaos
Posts: 8352
Joined: Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:00 am

Post by MrChaos »

.180 number I'm reffering to is level of CO2 in the around circa 1950 driving policy decisions. f we follow the goal and time to reach it given.... that has been driving my point in thi thread. If you do this blah blah blah. Hope that follows I'm my damn cell and the keys and screen are tiny. The first cue big hands your the one song and the secon your getting old mother tucker *sigh*
Ssssh
lexaal
Posts: 2612
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2007 12:58 pm

Post by lexaal »

I was thinking 180gCO2/km limit for PC.

:ninja:
I have a johnson photo in my profile since 2010.
Post Reply